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Red16
330919.5
583515.0
114819.8
Blue120
473836.2
69628.6
347629.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910205015016120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#24
19.83.3
22.919.5
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 16.4
4738
#15
36.21.6
34.235.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
Second
3309
#35
19.53.3
23.720.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 10.2
3476
#19
29.71.6
28.530.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
5835
#26
15.03.3
19.616.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 13.6
696
#4
28.61.6
25.627.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned