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Red83
513723.7
945228.5
59728.3
Blue104
49831.7
68722.4
432232.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8190406010012014016083104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#29
28.50.4
24.224.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
blue by 4.0
4322
#14
32.51.6
30.031.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1
Second
597
#20
28.30.4
27.928.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
blue by 3.4
498
#5
31.71.6
28.630.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Third
5137
#34
23.70.4
22.322.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
red by 1.3
687
#28
22.41.6
21.423.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed