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Red63
39919.1
441439.8
271020.9
Blue95
114819.8
6020.2
519940.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938702040601201401606395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
39.81.5
40.539.0
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
blue by 0.6
40.30.2
39.840.0
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
Second
2710
#38
20.91.5
21.920.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
red by 0.8
60
#30
20.20.2
20.120.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Third
399
#39
19.11.5
20.619.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 0.6
1148
#24
19.80.2
19.519.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned