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Red37
68722.4
85214.8
927113.4
Blue119
49831.7
119728.2
69628.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3810105015020037119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#28
22.40.3
23.022.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 9.3
498
#5
31.71.9
30.232.1
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
9271
#42
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 15.2
696
#4
28.61.9
27.329.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
Third
8521
#41
4.80.3
5.24.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 23.3
1197
#25
28.21.9
26.728.6
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed