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Red85
888813.1
212232.6
715736.1
Blue109
29431.5
59728.3
473836.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710805015020085109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.1
35.635.7
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
blue by 0.2
4738
#15
36.20.1
35.835.7
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
Second
32.60.1
32.933.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 1.2
294
#11
31.50.1
30.930.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Third
8888
#36
13.10.1
13.013.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 15.2
597
#20
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed