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Red45
330919.5
265815.1
704221.3
Blue101
441526.6
513723.7
312829.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6188020408010012014016045101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#27
21.30.9
22.221.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 8.0
29.31.0
27.628.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
Second
3309
#35
19.50.9
20.419.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 7.1
4415
#16
26.61.0
26.027.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
Third
2658
#40
15.10.9
16.015.1
Auto9.6
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 8.7
5137
#34
23.71.0
22.823.7
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned