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Red93
940832.5
210233.3
325529.3
Blue107
68722.4
29431.5
312829.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106915015093107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.30.0
33.033.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 1.9
294
#11
31.50.1
32.031.9
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Second
9408
#22
32.50.0
32.232.2
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 3.3
29.30.1
29.829.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
Third
3255
#23
29.30.0
29.028.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
red by 6.8
687
#28
22.40.1
22.722.6
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5