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Red86
441526.6
265926.0
212232.6
Blue97
35947.5
441923.6
441439.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91124501502008697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
33.032.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
blue by 14.8
359
#1
47.50.3
46.646.3
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
4415
#16
26.60.3
27.026.6
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
blue by 13.1
4414
#13
39.80.3
38.838.5
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Third
2659
#21
26.00.3
26.326.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3
red by 2.4
4419
#17
23.60.3
22.722.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4