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Red91
364726.4
119728.2
49831.7
Blue101
699535.0
432232.5
473836.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911195010015020091101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#5
31.70.1
31.631.7
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 4.5
4738
#15
36.20.2
36.536.3
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
Second
1197
#25
28.20.1
28.128.2
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 6.8
35.00.2
35.235.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
26.40.1
26.326.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7
blue by 6.1
4322
#14
32.50.2
32.832.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1