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Red80
265926.0
212232.6
441526.6
Blue116
29431.5
945228.5
312829.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9599608012014080116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.1
33.133.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 1.2
294
#11
31.50.5
31.532.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Second
4415
#16
26.60.1
27.127.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
blue by 2.6
29.30.5
29.329.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
Third
2659
#21
26.00.1
26.526.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 2.5
9452
#29
28.50.5
28.228.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2