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Red99
940832.5
210233.3
325529.3
Blue94
49831.7
119728.2
364726.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10694501502009994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.30.0
33.133.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 1.6
498
#5
31.70.3
31.931.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
9408
#22
32.50.0
32.232.2
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 4.3
1197
#25
28.20.3
28.328.1
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
3255
#23
29.30.0
29.029.0
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
red by 2.9
26.40.3
26.526.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7