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Red71
69628.6
388229.3
347629.7
Blue78
49831.7
119728.2
364726.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999660801201401607178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#19
29.70.6
30.229.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
blue by 2.0
498
#5
31.70.2
32.131.9
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
3882
#12
29.30.6
29.929.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
red by 1.1
1197
#25
28.20.2
28.628.3
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
696
#4
28.60.6
29.128.5
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
red by 2.3
26.40.2
26.726.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7