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Red88
519940.3
6020.2
715736.1
Blue91
441526.6
212232.6
265926.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108944060801001201401608891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.2
40.039.8
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
red by 7.7
32.60.1
33.033.1
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
36.10.2
35.735.5
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
red by 9.4
4415
#16
26.60.1
27.027.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
Third
60
#30
20.20.2
20.320.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 5.8
2659
#21
26.00.1
26.426.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3