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Red122
312829.3
945228.5
29431.5
Blue113
699535.0
473836.2
432232.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311650150122113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#11
31.50.7
30.831.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
blue by 4.7
4738
#15
36.20.2
35.736.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
Second
29.30.7
28.629.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
blue by 5.7
35.00.2
34.534.7
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
9452
#29
28.50.7
27.528.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
blue by 4.0
4322
#14
32.50.2
32.032.3
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1