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Red135
441439.8
441923.6
35947.5
Blue92
347629.7
427621.4
69628.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123825010015020013592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
47.50.5
46.146.6
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 17.8
3476
#19
29.70.1
29.529.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
4414
#13
39.80.5
38.438.8
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
red by 11.1
696
#4
28.60.1
28.528.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
Third
4419
#17
23.60.5
22.222.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4
red by 2.2
4276
#18
21.40.1
21.221.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7