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Red31
876819.9
801610.1
60597.8
Blue38
304520.7
359812.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476101001502003138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#27
19.90.9
21.120.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 0.8
3045
#18
20.71.1
26.325.2
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
8016
#45
10.11.0
13.712.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 2.3
3598
#21
12.41.1
18.417.4
Auto7.3
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Third
6059
#39
7.80.9
9.18.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
red by 1.7
6.11.3
6.17.4
Auto0.6
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed