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Red80
545820.8
696224.4
107216.4
Blue41
318912.8
84122.6
196714.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685501001502002508041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.9
23.424.2
Auto12.0
Teleop11.8
End0.6
red by 1.8
841
#34
22.60.7
28.627.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
Second
20.80.9
18.819.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
red by 6.5
1967
#17
14.30.7
9.18.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
1072
#32
16.40.9
17.718.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
red by 3.6
3189
#36
12.80.7
13.212.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed