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Red38
801610.1
741915.6
318912.8
Blue65
167842.1
7016.5
84617.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446801001502003865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#38
15.61.0
18.017.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 26.5
42.10.3
35.235.5
Auto17.3
Teleop20.1
End4.6
Second
3189
#36
12.81.0
12.311.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 5.0
846
#41
17.80.3
13.113.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
8016
#45
10.11.0
12.011.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 3.6
701
#43
6.50.3
10.410.7
Auto4.5
Teleop0.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsEarned