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Red37
186813.7
545820.8
502611.5
Blue53
213527.7
167124.0
817.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567101001502003753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.2
21.320.1
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 6.9
27.70.8
24.623.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Second
1868
#20
13.71.2
16.014.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
blue by 10.3
1671
#10
24.00.8
19.618.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
Third
5026
#40
11.51.2
15.414.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 5.6
8
#28
17.10.8
18.417.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed