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Red28
75286.3
397022.8
38595.0
Blue48
91258.2
60597.8
696224.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140303545502848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.7
24.423.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
blue by 1.7
24.40.1
23.323.4
Auto12.0
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Second
7528
#49
6.30.7
6.55.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 1.8
9125
#31
8.20.1
6.97.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
Third
3859
#50
5.00.7
5.95.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 2.8
6059
#39
7.80.1
6.26.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned