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Red50
469825.6
91438.3
527417.8
Blue37
107216.4
841B20.9
940012.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454203040506070805037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#15
25.60.8
25.825.0
Auto10.9
Teleop10.4
End4.3
red by 4.7
841B
#14
20.90.9
18.117.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
5274
#13
17.80.8
16.515.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 1.5
1072
#32
16.40.6
14.914.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Third
9143
#24
8.30.8
9.68.8
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 4.1
9400
#37
12.30.6
12.612.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed