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Red43
247310.5
348211.9
46436.2
Blue49
325715.6
25516.8
318912.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060804349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#30
11.90.4
12.613.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End0.2
blue by 3.7
3257
#33
15.60.9
15.116.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
2473
#48
10.50.4
9.810.2
Auto6.6
Teleop2.7
End1.2
blue by 2.3
3189
#36
12.80.9
11.312.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
4643
#46
6.20.4
4.75.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 0.6
2551
#47
6.80.9
7.68.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed