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Red62
876819.9
661921.3
84617.8
Blue53
11422.8
186813.7
641819.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576501001502002503006253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#23
21.30.2
20.520.7
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 1.5
114
#25
22.81.7
22.220.5
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
8768
#27
19.90.2
18.418.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 0.7
6418
#26
19.21.7
20.518.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Third
846
#41
17.80.2
13.413.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 4.0
1868
#20
13.71.7
14.813.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed