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Red37
142521.8
304520.7
84122.6
Blue53
7016.5
264315.3
207329.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795101001502003753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#34
22.62.2
21.719.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
blue by 6.7
29.30.2
24.924.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Second
1425
#16
21.82.2
22.920.7
Auto13.3
Teleop5.2
End3.3
red by 6.5
2643
#11
15.30.2
13.913.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
3045
#18
20.72.2
23.521.3
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 14.2
701
#43
6.50.2
10.710.4
Auto4.5
Teleop0.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed