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Red26
425518.0
741915.6
Blue48
213527.7
947014.5
879310.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801002648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#29
18.00.8
16.916.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 9.7
27.70.0
23.923.8
Auto12.0
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Second
7419
#38
15.60.8
17.016.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
red by 1.2
9470
#35
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
6.11.3
3.82.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 4.1
8793
#19
10.20.0
5.05.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed