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Red44
264315.3
60597.8
196714.3
Blue64
801610.1
879310.2
527417.8
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363520304050604464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#11
15.30.8
14.114.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 2.5
5274
#13
17.81.4
16.217.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
1967
#17
14.30.8
12.112.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 4.1
8793
#19
10.21.4
7.69.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
6059
#39
7.80.8
5.56.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 2.3
8016
#45
10.11.4
8.910.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed