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Red71
947014.5
325715.6
469825.6
Blue83
876819.9
696224.4
594039.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549801502007183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#15
25.60.7
25.225.8
Auto10.9
Teleop10.4
End4.3
blue by 13.8
39.50.8
37.436.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End4.7
Second
3257
#33
15.60.7
15.115.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 8.8
24.40.8
25.024.2
Auto12.0
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Third
9470
#35
14.50.7
13.814.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.3
End0.7
blue by 5.4
8768
#27
19.90.8
20.820.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed