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Red62
25314.4
167124.0
247310.5
Blue64
84122.6
397022.8
641819.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507201001502002506264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
24.00.6
22.923.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
red by 1.3
22.80.1
22.222.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Second
253
#22
14.40.6
13.714.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 8.2
841
#34
22.60.1
21.721.8
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
Third
2473
#48
10.50.6
10.911.5
Auto6.6
Teleop2.7
End1.2
blue by 8.7
6418
#26
19.20.1
18.919.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed