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Red92
545820.8
318912.8
841B20.9
Blue37
425518.0
502611.5
11523.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59583040507080909237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841B
#14
20.90.7
20.120.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 2.2
115
#7
23.11.2
23.922.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Second
20.80.4
19.419.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
red by 2.8
4255
#29
18.01.2
15.814.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
3189
#36
12.80.4
10.911.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 1.3
5026
#40
11.51.2
15.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed