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Red71
11523.1
186813.7
213527.7
Blue40
54306.3
38595.0
142521.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85390501001507140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
25.525.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 5.9
1425
#16
21.80.1
24.124.0
Auto13.3
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Second
115
#7
23.10.4
29.128.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.6
End0.8
red by 16.9
5430
#51
6.30.1
10.110.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Third
1868
#20
13.70.4
16.916.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
red by 8.7
3859
#50
5.00.1
6.76.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed