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Red30
75286.3
661921.3
91258.2
Blue44
25314.4
425518.0
25516.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052304060703044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#23
21.31.4
25.724.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 3.3
4255
#29
18.00.1
20.019.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
9125
#31
8.21.4
10.59.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 6.2
253
#22
14.40.1
16.716.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
Third
7528
#49
6.31.4
10.49.0
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 0.5
2551
#47
6.80.1
9.08.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed