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Red79
75286.3
186813.7
207329.3
Blue46
879310.2
91438.3
318912.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060801001201407946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.3
26.928.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 16.5
3189
#36
12.80.9
11.412.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Second
1868
#20
13.71.3
12.814.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
red by 3.6
8793
#19
10.20.9
9.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
7528
#49
6.31.3
5.46.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 1.9
9143
#24
8.30.9
7.78.6
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed