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Red20
1995.1
359814.1
55159.8
Blue61
207322.3
541933.7
57283.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801001202061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#13
14.11.9
12.210.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 19.6
33.70.4
26.927.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
5515
#19
9.81.9
12.610.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 12.5
22.30.4
17.818.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Third
199
#31
5.11.9
12.310.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
red by 1.7
5728
#38
3.40.6
6.06.6
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed