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Red61
76866.0
661927.3
545825.3
Blue39
388014.6
318913.2
10729.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424340455055606139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.7
13.214.9
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
red by 12.7
3880
#21
14.60.5
15.014.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Second
5458
#10
25.31.7
17.018.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 12.2
3189
#12
13.20.3
11.010.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
7686
#15
6.01.7
8.410.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 3.9
1072
#36
9.90.5
12.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed