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Red74
388014.6
22049.7
207322.3
Blue21
69811.9
55159.8
527416.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413210205060707421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.5
15.517.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
red by 5.8
5274
#17
16.41.0
12.511.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Second
3880
#21
14.62.3
10.713.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 4.9
5515
#19
9.81.0
9.18.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
2204
#26
9.72.3
10.012.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 7.8
6981
#37
1.91.0
8.37.3
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed