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Red50
34829.3
694724.5
46436.1
Blue55
661927.3
1995.1
7017.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3335202530404550555055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.1
10.311.4
Auto12.0
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 2.8
27.32.7
10.012.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
Second
3482
#24
9.31.1
10.211.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
red by 1.8
701
#29
7.52.7
10.012.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
4643
#34
6.11.1
9.810.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
red by 1.0
199
#31
5.12.7
11.113.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed