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Red36
804823.4
66654.8
41598.3
Blue56
359814.1
541933.7
318913.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060801003656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
16.816.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
blue by 10.3
33.70.9
24.625.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
4159
#28
8.30.3
11.311.0
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 5.8
3598
#13
14.11.1
11.412.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Third
6665
#35
4.80.3
8.88.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 8.4
3189
#12
13.20.7
10.211.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed