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Red70
60439.0
752811.9
166212.7
Blue19
34829.3
22049.7
66654.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68290204060801001207019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
39.00.4
30.731.1
Auto15.8
Teleop19.2
End4.0
red by 29.3
2204
#26
9.71.7
10.58.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Second
1662
#14
12.70.7
12.212.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End2.3
red by 3.4
3482
#24
9.31.7
10.68.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
Third
7528
#33
11.90.7
13.714.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 7.2
6665
#35
4.81.7
9.67.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed