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Red71
527416.4
840416.6
541933.7
Blue26
7017.5
46436.1
213515.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5937020801007126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.4
27.328.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 18.1
2135
#18
15.61.6
17.315.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Second
8404
#11
16.61.4
13.915.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
red by 9.2
701
#29
7.51.6
8.06.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
5274
#17
16.42.3
9.311.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
red by 10.3
4643
#34
6.11.6
10.48.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed