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Qual 232024 Sacramento Regional
Red8
10729.9
41598.3
1995.1
Blue19
55159.8
91256.9
766716.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30430100200300400500819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#36
9.92.3
12.2→9.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 6.6
7667
#20
16.52.0
14.1→12.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
4159
#28
8.32.3
6.5→4.1
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 1.5
5515
#19
9.82.0
10.7→8.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
199
#31
5.12.3
10.4→8.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 1.8
9125
#30
6.91.2
12.3→11.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed