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Qual 242024 Sacramento Regional
Red54
318913.2
57283.4
804823.4
Blue74
801510.7
207322.3
167850.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358902060801001201405474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#5
23.40.9
20.7→21.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
blue by 27.4
1678
#2
50.80.0
48.3→48.3
Auto18.8
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
3189
#12
13.20.9
10.7→11.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1
blue by 9.1
2073
#7
22.30.0
18.1→18.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Third
5728
#38
3.41.6
6.6→8.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
blue by 7.3
8015
#25
10.70.0
7.4→7.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed