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Red75
255119.8
359814.1
545825.3
Blue109
388014.6
661927.3
25447.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46672040608010012075109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
25.33.4
18.722.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
blue by 22.6
254
#3
47.95.6
29.034.6
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
19.82.1
15.017.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 7.5
27.35.6
14.920.5
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
Third
3598
#13
14.13.4
10.313.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 0.6
3880
#21
14.65.6
14.520.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsEarned