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Red19
21418.7
752811.9
34829.3
Blue39
76866.0
213515.6
325711.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314202060801001939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7528
#33
11.91.2
14.413.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 3.7
2135
#18
15.60.2
15.715.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Second
3482
#24
9.31.2
8.87.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
blue by 1.9
3257
#16
11.20.2
11.011.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
Third
2141
#23
8.71.2
6.35.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End1.3
red by 2.6
7686
#15
6.00.2
10.110.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed