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Red8
10729.9
57283.4
7517.3
Blue40
7017.5
766716.5
318913.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34331020304050840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#36
9.92.4
9.87.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 6.6
7667
#20
16.51.1
12.113.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
751
#27
7.32.4
11.89.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 5.9
3189
#12
13.20.7
11.612.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
5728
#38
3.42.4
8.15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
blue by 4.1
701
#29
7.51.1
6.47.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed