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Red71
166212.7
167850.8
388014.6
Blue96
694724.5
207322.3
25447.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93710501502007196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.7
48.347.6
Auto18.8
Teleop24.8
End7.1
red by 2.9
254
#3
47.93.2
34.637.8
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
3880
#21
14.61.2
20.119.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 9.9
24.53.2
14.317.5
Auto12.0
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
1662
#14
12.71.2
12.911.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End2.3
blue by 9.6
22.31.9
18.120.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned