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Red21
413510.8
7017.5
801510.7
Blue66
840416.6
60439.0
359814.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2575040601001202166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#32
10.80.8
12.711.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 28.2
604
#1
39.00.3
33.533.8
Auto15.8
Teleop19.2
End4.0
Second
8015
#25
10.70.8
8.17.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 6.0
8404
#11
16.60.3
14.314.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Third
701
#29
7.50.8
7.56.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 6.6
3598
#13
14.10.5
13.814.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned