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Red26
66654.8
527416.4
752811.9
Blue46
325711.2
10729.9
804823.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3347204060802646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#17
16.40.6
13.512.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 7.0
23.40.0
21.821.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Second
7528
#33
11.90.6
11.711.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 0.7
3257
#16
11.20.0
10.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
Third
6665
#35
4.80.6
6.35.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 5.1
1072
#36
9.90.0
8.58.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed