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Red50
541933.7
69811.9
34829.3
Blue50
207322.3
41598.3
545825.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4452204060801005050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 8.3
5458
#10
25.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Second
3482
#24
9.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
blue by 13.0
22.3
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Third
6981
#37
1.9
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.7
blue by 6.4
4159
#28
8.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned