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Red54
359814.1
804823.4
801510.7
Blue33
22049.7
7517.3
527416.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801005433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
21.821.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
red by 7.0
5274
#17
16.41.1
12.911.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Second
3598
#13
14.10.5
14.313.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
red by 4.4
2204
#26
9.71.1
7.96.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Third
8015
#25
10.70.5
7.36.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 3.3
751
#27
7.31.1
7.96.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed