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Qual 472024 Sacramento Regional
Red33
213515.6
66654.8
388014.6
Blue34
41598.3
413510.8
694724.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41402530354550553334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#18
15.60.7
16.6→15.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 8.9
6947
#9
24.50.8
20.2→19.4
Auto12.0
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Second
3880
#21
14.60.7
15.0→14.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 3.8
4135
#32
10.80.8
11.9→11.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Third
6665
#35
4.80.7
5.7→5.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 3.5
4159
#28
8.30.9
4.6→3.8
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed